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Ok...a few months ago my ex-girlfriend told me that she was pregnant and that it was mine. I was shocked because we hadn't been together for months and she waited so long to tell me. So I ask her when the due date is and she said end of March/first of April 2009. Well, I didn't think too much of it at the time, but I began to question whether or not it really is mine. I started reading about pregnancy and found out that when the doctor estimates the due date they go by the first day of the last period, which comes out to be a 40-week calendar. I am right about that aren't I? Ok...so I go back and count from the last time we had sex, which was June 27. I remember well because we broke up 2 days later.
40 weeks from June 27 turns out to be April 3, which is in the range for the due date. But, I also read that even though pregnancy is calculated by 40 weeks, a person doesn't get pregnant til around 14 days later, on average. So she wouldn't have gotten pregnant until the second week of July, right? We had gotten pregnant a couple times before, but they both ended in miscarriages. Both of those times, the doctor estimated that she conceived during the second week of the month.
I used one of those sites with the calendar and entered 06/27/2009 as the LMP, even though she wasn't on her period at the time and it gave me an estimated conception date of July 12 and an estimated due date of April 4. How likely is it that I am really the father?

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